Industry Employment Projections

 

About Projections - Employment projections are a multi-step process. Historic industry employment trends and other factors are analyzed to project future industry employment. Industry staffing patterns are then used to estimate occupational employment projections. The occupational projections estimate the number of new, transfer, and exit jobs openings that are expected to occur over the projection period.

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Long-Term Projection 2022-2032

Missouri

Data produced by Missouri Economic Research and Information Center (MERIC). Funding provided by U.S. Department of Labor's Employment and Training Administration (ETA).
Industry Employment
Estimated 2022		 Employment
Projected 2032		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
00 - All Industries 3,155,853 3,269,251 113,398 3.59%
11 - Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting
Industry Employment
Estimated 2022		 Employment
Projected 2032		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
11 - Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting 29,807 31,631 1,824 6.12%
  111 - Crop production 17,570 18,877 1,307 7.44%
  112 - Animal production and aquaculture 7,265 7,411 146 2.01%
  113 - Forestry and logging 1,584 1,686 102 6.44%
  114 - Fishing, hunting and trapping 137 141 4 2.92%
  115 - Agriculture and forestry support activities 3,251 3,516 265 8.15%
21 - Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction
Industry Employment
Estimated 2022		 Employment
Projected 2032		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
21 - Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction 4,240 4,457 217 5.12%
  212 - Mining, except oil and gas 3,977 4,183 206 5.18%
     2123 - Nonmetallic mineral mining and quarrying 3,137 3,326 189 6.02%
     2131 - Support activities for mining 229 242 13 5.68%
22 - Utilities
Industry Employment
Estimated 2022		 Employment
Projected 2032		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
22 - Utilities 11,798 11,960 162 1.37%
  221 - Utilities 11,798 11,960 162 1.37%
     2211 - Power generation and supply 7,727 8,309 582 7.53%
     2212 - Natural gas distribution 2,630 2,181 -449 -17.07%
     2213 - Water, sewage and other systems 1,441 1,470 29 2.01%
23 - Construction
Industry Employment
Estimated 2022		 Employment
Projected 2032		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
23 - Construction 143,576 155,125 11,549 8.04%
  236 - Construction of buildings 31,120 34,256 3,136 10.08%
     2361 - Residential building construction 13,412 15,574 2,162 16.12%
     2362 - Nonresidential building construction 17,708 18,682 974 5.50%
  237 - Heavy and civil engineering construction 19,485 19,497 12 0.06%
  238 - Specialty trade contractors 92,971 101,372 8,401 9.04%
     2381 - Building foundation and exterior contractors 17,645 18,741 1,096 6.21%
     2382 - Building equipment contractors 44,111 49,458 5,347 12.12%
     2383 - Building finishing contractors 15,879 17,235 1,356 8.54%
     2389 - Other specialty trade contractors 15,336 15,938 602 3.93%
31 - Manufacturing
Industry Employment
Estimated 2022		 Employment
Projected 2032		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
31 - Manufacturing 286,768 287,600 832 0.29%
  311 - Food manufacturing 44,558 48,342 3,784 8.49%
     3111 - Animal food manufacturing 5,486 6,069 583 10.63%
     3112 - Grain and oilseed milling 2,594 2,746 152 5.86%
     3114 - Fruit and vegetable preserving and specialty 3,991 4,231 240 6.01%
     3115 - Dairy product manufacturing 5,929 6,696 767 12.94%
     3116 - Animal slaughtering and processing 17,914 19,643 1,729 9.65%
     3118 - Bakeries and tortilla manufacturing 3,513 3,139 -374 -10.65%
     3119 - Other food manufacturing 4,413 5,011 598 13.55%
  312 - Beverage and tobacco product manufacturing 7,051 7,771 720 10.21%
  314 - Textile product mills 1,605 1,410 -195 -12.15%
     3141 - Textile furnishings mills 106 108 2 1.89%
     3149 - Other textile product mills 1,499 1,302 -197 -13.14%
  315 - Apparel manufacturing 1,657 1,690 33 1.99%
     3159 - Accessories and other apparel manufacturing 882 900 18 2.04%
     3169 - Other leather product manufacturing 272 277 5 1.84%
  321 - Wood product manufacturing 6,999 6,824 -175 -2.50%
     3211 - Sawmills and wood preservation 2,033 1,970 -63 -3.10%
     3212 - Plywood and engineered wood product mfg. 595 599 4 0.67%
     3219 - Other wood product manufacturing 4,371 4,255 -116 -2.65%
  322 - Paper manufacturing 7,031 6,456 -575 -8.18%
  323 - Printing and related support activities 9,758 8,423 -1,335 -13.68%
     3231 - Printing and related support activities 9,758 8,423 -1,335 -13.68%
  324 - Petroleum and coal products manufacturing 1,465 1,554 89 6.08%
     3241 - Petroleum and coal products manufacturing 1,465 1,554 89 6.08%
  325 - Chemical manufacturing 22,512 24,505 1,993 8.85%
     3254 - Pharmaceutical and medicine manufacturing 7,179 7,919 740 10.31%
  326 - Plastics and rubber products manufacturing 16,357 17,798 1,441 8.81%
     3261 - Plastics product manufacturing 13,576 14,958 1,382 10.18%
     3262 - Rubber product manufacturing 2,781 2,840 59 2.12%
  327 - Nonmetallic mineral product manufacturing 8,251 9,126 875 10.60%
  331 - Primary metal manufacturing 7,250 6,364 -886 -12.22%
     3312 - Steel product mfg. from purchased steel 1,504 1,465 -39 -2.59%
     3313 - Alumina and aluminum production 1,339 938 -401 -29.95%
     3315 - Foundries 2,901 2,696 -205 -7.07%
  332 - Fabricated metal product manufacturing 31,228 30,652 -576 -1.84%
     3327 - Machine shops and threaded product mfg. 4,170 4,106 -64 -1.53%
     3328 - Coating, engraving, and heat treating metals 2,339 1,818 -521 -22.27%
  333 - Machinery manufacturing 28,681 26,101 -2,580 -9.00%
     3333 - Commercial and service industry machinery 2,843 3,058 215 7.56%
     3335 - Metalworking machinery manufacturing 4,964 4,957 -7 -0.14%
     3336 - Turbine and power transmission equipment mfg. 3,546 3,628 82 2.31%
  334 - Computer and electronic product manufacturing 13,713 17,335 3,622 26.41%
     3341 - Computer and peripheral equipment mfg. 198 287 89 44.95%
     3342 - Communications equipment manufacturing 1,244 1,342 98 7.88%
     3344 - Semiconductor and electronic component mfg. 8,959 12,694 3,735 41.69%
     3345 - Electronic instrument manufacturing 3,175 2,884 -291 -9.17%
  335 - Electrical equipment and appliance mfg. 11,890 11,277 -613 -5.16%
     3353 - Electrical equipment manufacturing 4,343 3,621 -722 -16.62%
     3359 - Other electrical equipment and component mfg. 6,672 6,806 134 2.01%
  336 - Transportation equipment manufacturing 49,064 44,462 -4,602 -9.38%
     3362 - Motor vehicle body and trailer manufacturing 2,753 2,813 60 2.18%
     3363 - Motor vehicle parts manufacturing 10,585 7,381 -3,204 -30.27%
     3364 - Aerospace product and parts manufacturing 18,109 18,489 380 2.10%
     3366 - Ship and boat building 3,061 3,160 99 3.23%
     3369 - Other transportation equipment manufacturing 1,191 1,023 -168 -14.11%
  337 - Furniture and related product manufacturing 7,396 7,039 -357 -4.83%
  339 - Miscellaneous manufacturing 9,022 9,188 166 1.84%
     3391 - Medical equipment and supplies manufacturing 3,852 3,955 103 2.67%
     3399 - Other miscellaneous manufacturing 5,170 5,233 63 1.22%
42 - Wholesale Trade
Industry Employment
Estimated 2022		 Employment
Projected 2032		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
42 - Wholesale trade 127,289 130,200 2,911 2.29%
  423 - Merchant wholesalers, durable goods 73,688 75,811 2,123 2.88%
     4231 - Motor vehicle and parts merchant wholesalers 11,295 11,950 655 5.80%
     4234 - Commercial equip. merchant wholesalers 14,329 15,350 1,021 7.13%
     4238 - Machinery and supply merchant wholesalers 16,552 16,415 -137 -0.83%
  424 - Merchant wholesalers, nondurable goods 43,236 45,474 2,238 5.18%
     4243 - Apparel and piece goods merchant wholesalers 1,159 1,146 -13 -1.12%
     4245 - Farm product raw material merch. whls. 2,170 1,803 -367 -16.91%
  425 - Electronic markets and agents and brokers 10,365 8,915 -1,450 -13.99%
     4251 - Electronic markets and agents and brokers 10,365 8,915 -1,450 -13.99%
44 - Retail Trade
Industry Employment
Estimated 2022		 Employment
Projected 2032		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
44 - Retail trade 305,946 303,557 -2,389 -0.78%
  441 - Motor vehicle and parts dealers 42,557 42,995 438 1.03%
     4411 - Automobile dealers 25,576 25,838 262 1.02%
     4412 - Other motor vehicle dealers 3,736 3,805 69 1.85%
     4413 - Auto parts, accessories, and tire stores 13,245 13,352 107 0.81%
  444 - Building material and garden supply stores 31,436 32,560 1,124 3.58%
     4441 - Building material and supplies dealers 26,110 27,034 924 3.54%
     4442 - Lawn and garden equipment and supplies stores 5,326 5,526 200 3.76%
  445 - Food and beverage stores 44,732 46,931 2,199 4.92%
     4453 - Beer, wine, and liquor stores 2,228 2,275 47 2.11%
48 - Transportation and Warehousing
Industry Employment
Estimated 2022		 Employment
Projected 2032		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
48 - Transportation and warehousing 116,848 123,217 6,369 5.45%
  481 - Air transportation 3,364 3,535 171 5.08%
     4811 - Scheduled air transportation 2,975 3,122 147 4.94%
     4812 - Nonscheduled air transportation 389 413 24 6.17%
  482 - Rail transportation 6,662 6,993 331 4.97%
     4821 - Rail transportation 6,662 6,993 331 4.97%
  484 - Truck transportation 41,102 41,927 825 2.01%
  485 - Transit and ground passenger transportation 8,321 7,869 -452 -5.43%
     4852 - Interurban and rural bus transportation 322 284 -38 -11.80%
     4853 - Taxi and limousine service 537 495 -42 -7.82%
     4854 - School and employee bus transportation 3,858 3,090 -768 -19.91%
     4859 - Other ground passenger transportation 2,142 2,511 369 17.23%
  486 - Pipeline transportation 341 415 74 21.70%
     4869 - Other pipeline transportation 181 250 69 38.12%
     4871 - Scenic and sightseeing transportation, land 196 203 7 3.57%
  488 - Support activities for transportation 14,232 16,211 1,979 13.91%
     4881 - Support activities for air transportation 3,549 3,729 180 5.07%
     4882 - Support activities for rail transportation 1,388 1,761 373 26.87%
     4883 - Support activities for water transportation 508 625 117 23.03%
     4884 - Support activities for road transportation 2,306 2,401 95 4.12%
     4885 - Freight transportation arrangement 6,122 7,312 1,190 19.44%
     4889 - Other support activities for transportation 359 383 24 6.69%
     4911 - Postal service 14,415 13,913 -502 -3.48%
  492 - Couriers and messengers 16,198 17,749 1,551 9.58%
     4921 - Couriers and express delivery services 13,987 15,242 1,255 8.97%
     4922 - Local messengers and local delivery 2,211 2,507 296 13.39%
  493 - Warehousing and storage 25,847 27,713 1,866 7.22%
     4931 - Warehousing and storage 25,847 27,713 1,866 7.22%
51 - Information
Industry Employment
Estimated 2022		 Employment
Projected 2032		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
51 - Information 48,894 51,306 2,412 4.93%
  512 - Motion picture and sound recording industries 3,115 3,340 225 7.22%
     5121 - Motion picture and video industries 2,987 3,210 223 7.47%
     5122 - Sound recording industries 128 130 2 1.56%
  516 - Broadcasting and content providers 5,596 5,742 146 2.61%
     5161 - Radio and television broadcasting stations 1,829 1,757 -72 -3.94%
  517 - Telecommunications 13,685 14,027 342 2.50%
  518 - Data processing, hosting and related services 14,646 15,781 1,135 7.75%
     5182 - Data processing, hosting and related services 14,646 15,781 1,135 7.75%
  519 - Web search portals, libraries, archives, and other information services 623 533 -90 -14.45%
52 - Finance and Insurance
Industry Employment
Estimated 2022		 Employment
Projected 2032		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
52 - Finance and insurance 141,143 144,588 3,445 2.44%
  522 - Credit intermediation and related activities 56,529 57,186 657 1.16%
     5222 - Nondepository credit intermediation 13,027 13,167 140 1.07%
  524 - Insurance carriers and related activities 63,781 66,277 2,496 3.91%
     5241 - Insurance carriers 28,376 28,946 570 2.01%
     5242 - Insurance agencies and brokerages 35,405 37,331 1,926 5.44%
53 - Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Industry Employment
Estimated 2022		 Employment
Projected 2032		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
53 - Real estate and rental and leasing 42,299 43,798 1,499 3.54%
  531 - Real estate 30,079 31,368 1,289 4.29%
  532 - Rental and leasing services 11,946 12,150 204 1.71%
     5321 - Automotive equipment rental and leasing 5,123 5,226 103 2.01%
  533 - Lessors of nonfinancial intangible assets 274 280 6 2.19%
     5331 - Lessors of nonfinancial intangible assets 274 280 6 2.19%
54 - Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Industry Employment
Estimated 2022		 Employment
Projected 2032		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
54 - Professional and technical services 169,959 186,282 16,323 9.60%
  541 - Professional and technical services 169,959 186,282 16,323 9.60%
     5411 - Legal services 21,129 21,192 63 0.30%
     5412 - Accounting and bookkeeping services 21,227 21,890 663 3.12%
     5413 - Architectural and engineering services 25,411 24,826 -585 -2.30%
     5414 - Specialized design services 2,145 2,477 332 15.48%
     5415 - Computer systems design and related services 41,690 49,821 8,131 19.50%
     5416 - Management and technical consulting services 23,738 28,606 4,868 20.51%
     5417 - Scientific research and development services 8,855 9,989 1,134 12.81%
     5418 - Advertising, pr, and related services 9,752 10,384 632 6.48%
     5419 - Other professional and technical services 16,012 17,097 1,085 6.78%
55 - Management of Companies and Enterprises
Industry Employment
Estimated 2022		 Employment
Projected 2032		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
55 - Management of companies and enterprises 60,077 61,416 1,339 2.23%
  551 - Management of companies and enterprises 60,077 61,416 1,339 2.23%
     5511 - Management of companies and enterprises 60,077 61,416 1,339 2.23%
56 - Admin and Support and Waste Management
Industry Employment
Estimated 2022		 Employment
Projected 2032		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
56 - Administrative and waste services 151,112 152,204 1,092 0.72%
  561 - Administrative and support services 143,136 143,719 583 0.41%
     5611 - Office administrative services 8,188 9,224 1,036 12.65%
     5612 - Facilities support services 1,987 2,190 203 10.22%
     5613 - Employment services 51,735 51,416 -319 -0.62%
     5614 - Business support services 15,475 12,911 -2,564 -16.57%
     5615 - Travel arrangement and reservation services 3,955 3,388 -567 -14.34%
     5616 - Investigation and security services 14,193 15,308 1,115 7.86%
     5617 - Services to buildings and dwellings 38,210 39,516 1,306 3.42%
     5619 - Other support services 9,393 9,766 373 3.97%
  562 - Waste management and remediation services 7,976 8,485 509 6.38%
     5621 - Waste collection 3,678 3,932 254 6.91%
     5622 - Waste treatment and disposal 1,154 1,257 103 8.93%
     5629 - Remediation and other waste services 3,144 3,296 152 4.83%
61 - Educational Services
Industry Employment
Estimated 2022		 Employment
Projected 2032		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
61 - Educational services 250,809 252,238 1,429 0.57%
  611 - Educational services 250,809 252,238 1,429 0.57%
     6111 - Elementary and secondary schools 154,766 152,838 -1,928 -1.25%
     6112 - Junior colleges 10,504 10,989 485 4.62%
     6113 - Colleges and universities 71,627 74,652 3,025 4.22%
     6114 - Business, computer and management training 1,476 1,536 60 4.07%
     6115 - Technical and trade schools 2,800 2,963 163 5.82%
     6116 - Other schools and instruction 6,749 6,430 -319 -4.73%
     6117 - Educational support services 2,887 2,830 -57 -1.97%
62 - Health Care and Social Assistance
Industry Employment
Estimated 2022		 Employment
Projected 2032		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
62 - Health care and social assistance 468,917 520,225 51,308 10.94%
  621 - Ambulatory health care services 128,517 135,050 6,533 5.08%
     6211 - Offices of physicians 44,973 44,184 -789 -1.75%
     6212 - Offices of dentists 16,407 17,055 648 3.95%
     6213 - Offices of other health practitioners 21,689 22,041 352 1.62%
     6214 - Outpatient care centers 16,148 19,096 2,948 18.26%
     6215 - Medical and diagnostic laboratories 3,331 3,154 -177 -5.31%
     6216 - Home health care services 18,212 20,989 2,777 15.25%
     6219 - Other ambulatory health care services 7,757 8,531 774 9.98%
  622 - Hospitals 164,092 183,742 19,650 11.98%
     6221 - General medical and surgical hospitals 149,775 169,671 19,896 13.28%
     6222 - Psychiatric and substance abuse hospitals 6,559 5,457 -1,102 -16.80%
     6223 - Other hospitals 7,758 8,614 856 11.03%
  623 - Nursing and residential care facilities 69,423 71,987 2,564 3.69%
     6231 - Nursing care facilities, skilled nursing 38,050 37,405 -645 -1.70%
     6232 - Residential mental health facilities 14,419 14,700 281 1.95%
     6233 - Continuing care, assisted living facilities 14,021 16,890 2,869 20.46%
     6239 - Other residential care facilities 2,933 2,992 59 2.01%
  624 - Social assistance 106,885 129,446 22,561 21.11%
     6241 - Individual and family services 72,236 90,568 18,332 25.38%
     6242 - Emergency and other relief services 4,246 4,356 110 2.59%
     6243 - Vocational rehabilitation services 8,000 7,099 -901 -11.26%
     6244 - Child day care services 22,403 27,423 5,020 22.41%
71 - Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Industry Employment
Estimated 2022		 Employment
Projected 2032		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
71 - Arts, entertainment, and recreation 45,774 44,206 -1,568 -3.43%
  711 - Performing arts and spectator sports 11,455 11,618 163 1.42%
     7111 - Performing arts companies 3,052 3,033 -19 -0.62%
     7112 - Spectator sports 3,738 4,232 494 13.22%
     7113 - Promoters of performing arts and sports 3,971 3,747 -224 -5.64%
     7114 - Agents and managers for public figures 86 70 -16 -18.60%
     7115 - Independent artists, writers, and performers 608 536 -72 -11.84%
  712 - Museums, historical sites, zoos, and parks 3,805 3,957 152 3.99%
     7121 - Museums, historical sites, zoos, and parks 3,805 3,957 152 3.99%
  713 - Amusements, gambling, and recreation 30,514 28,631 -1,883 -6.17%
     7131 - Amusement parks and arcades 4,328 4,097 -231 -5.34%
     7132 - Gambling industries 2,407 2,126 -281 -11.67%
     7139 - Other amusement and recreation industries 23,779 22,408 -1,371 -5.77%
72 - Accommodation and Food Services
Industry Employment
Estimated 2022		 Employment
Projected 2032		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
72 - Accommodation and food services 262,853 272,962 10,109 3.85%
  721 - Accommodation 31,648 35,135 3,487 11.02%
     7211 - Traveler accommodation 29,669 32,448 2,779 9.37%
     7212 - Rv parks and recreational camps 1,774 2,477 703 39.63%
     7213 - Rooming and boarding houses 205 210 5 2.44%
  722 - Food services and drinking places 231,205 237,827 6,622 2.86%
     7223 - Special food services 15,005 15,853 848 5.65%
     7224 - Drinking places, alcoholic beverages 7,462 7,612 150 2.01%
81 - Other services
Industry Employment
Estimated 2022		 Employment
Projected 2032		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
81 - Other services, except public administration 114,894 116,476 1,582 1.38%
  811 - Repair and maintenance 28,029 28,885 856 3.05%
     8111 - Automotive repair and maintenance 20,902 21,722 820 3.92%
     8112 - Electronic equipment repair and maintenance 1,530 1,224 -306 -20.00%
     8113 - Commercial machinery repair and maintenance 4,212 4,490 278 6.60%
     8114 - Household goods repair and maintenance 1,385 1,449 64 4.62%
  812 - Personal and laundry services 25,898 24,130 -1,768 -6.83%
     8121 - Personal care services 11,023 9,365 -1,658 -15.04%
     8122 - Death care services 3,124 3,045 -79 -2.53%
     8123 - Drycleaning and laundry services 4,605 4,361 -244 -5.30%
     8129 - Other personal services 7,146 7,359 213 2.98%
  813 - Membership associations and organizations 58,451 60,935 2,484 4.25%
     8131 - Religious organizations 35,871 36,102 231 0.64%
     8132 - Grantmaking and giving services 2,504 2,674 170 6.79%
     8133 - Social advocacy organizations 4,422 4,772 350 7.92%
     8134 - Civic and social organizations 6,816 8,413 1,597 23.43%
     8139 - Professional and similar organizations 8,838 8,974 136 1.54%
  814 - Private households 2,516 2,526 10 0.40%
     8141 - Private households 2,516 2,526 10 0.40%
90 to 93 - Government
Industry Employment
Estimated 2022		 Employment
Projected 2032		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
90 - Government, Total 204,530 206,609 2,079 1.02%
  91 - Federal government 56,096 57,931 1,835 3.27%
  92 - State government 46,263 44,116 -2,147 -4.64%
  93 - Local government 102,171 104,562 2,391 2.34%
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